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Post by zenga on Oct 22, 2023 11:12:41 GMT
After ~ 1/4th of the season the league position is getting closer to reflect the actually strength of all the teams. So I took a closer look at the games played and those ahead relative to the current positions, until january 1st. notes:
- I deliberately use #position references rather than club names just to avoid bias.
- This is far from anything scientific, just a humble attempt to get a bit more insight in the table.
 Some random observations. - Lost 2 vs #2 and #5. Nothing out of the ordinary.
- Lost 2 vs #14 and #17. That hurts.
- 1 win and 2 draws against the teams right in front of us (#6, #8, #7). Nothing out of the ordinary.
- #1 and #2 win their games (what a surprise).
- #3 to #5 are consistent with 10/15, 10/15 and 9/15.
- Teams #6 to #8 are on a poor to mediocre run (3/15, 8/15, 7/15)
- Team #9 has played 2 games more than CAFC but got 13/15 out of their last 5 games.
- While looking at the table, you see more red than green for the teams ranked below Charlton.
- One could make the argument that current league positions are generally speaking a somewhat fair representation of the actual strength for most of the teams.
- Next 2 games are against #12 and #4.
- However out of the following 6 games we play 5 out of 6 against the bottom tier clubs, with the other game being against #1. A massive opportunity to climb the table.
- The calendar is definitely favoring Charlton as we never have a cluster of games against the top teams. There are always 1 or 2 games to recover from a potential loss vs what should be easier opponents on paper.
My take on it: 2 disappointing losses at home vs Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, losing in the final minutes while also hitting the post 1 minute before; while having key players injured. Apart from that CAFC Charlton has more or less done what can be expected in terms of results for a club with the ambition of a top 6 finish. |
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Post by bexleyboy on Oct 22, 2023 14:00:11 GMT
People behind me yesterday were trying to work the league table every-time a goal went in … why
No need to look at the table till Jan .. we are in a perfect place now in the pack . …sure many other clubs will not have finances like us to bring good players into the club in Jan for the final push . .. if needed
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Post by bigandy99 on Oct 22, 2023 15:07:09 GMT
Great work, Zenga!
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Post by reamsofverse on Oct 22, 2023 16:33:28 GMT
Great work Zenga as always.
It's great we are creeping up the table bur we need to start winning away. Eight of our 12 games so far have been at home, with only four being played away. We won't know our true position until we catch up with the games in hand we have at Deeby and Wigan which is less than ideal.
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Post by bigandy99 on Oct 22, 2023 16:48:10 GMT
Great work Zenga as always. It's great we are creeping up the table bur we need to start winning away. Eight of our 12 games so far have been at home, with only four being played away. We won't know our true position until we catch up with the games in hand we have at Deeby and Wigan which is less than ideal. An awful lot of work to do to get up to a 2 points per game average… maybe we’ll never get there but close will equal top six |
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Post by kings hill addick on Oct 22, 2023 17:41:44 GMT
Great work Zenga as always. It's great we are creeping up the table bur we need to start winning away. Eight of our 12 games so far have been at home, with only four being played away. We won't know our true position until we catch up with the games in hand we have at Deeby and Wigan which is less than ideal. An awful lot of work to do to get up to a 2 points per game average… maybe we’ll never get there but close will equal top six We have averages two points a game for the last seven games. If we can stick to that then that should be enough. |
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Post by seriouslyred on Oct 22, 2023 19:44:25 GMT
Great work Zenga as always. It's great we are creeping up the table bur we need to start winning away. Eight of our 12 games so far have been at home, with only four being played away. We won't know our true position until we catch up with the games in hand we have at Deeby and Wigan which is less than ideal. We have had a lot of home games and we are now set to play two aways over the next 10 days including one of our games in hand. Those two are at Lincoln and Wigan - a real opportunity to improve upon our terrible record away and, dare I mention it XG! I'm not sure we can say much about the relative merits of the opposition as this is League One and teams vary a lot from week to week. Plus the sheer randomness and the occasional shocking ref performance. So I'd take a look at the end of every month but not sure we can really judge until end of the year after 23 games. At that point August will be a distant memory and we may well be just a couple of points off of the top six. If we can continue our current form under Appleton then we might catch fifth and six place at some point in February. But that's a big if. Let's see where we are at the end of October. |
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