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Post by valley on Jul 17, 2023 19:39:02 GMT
Is it that hard too get out of league one this coming season?.
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Post by norfolkrobin on Jul 17, 2023 20:55:19 GMT
On the face of it,the league looks a bit weaker than last season,but looks can be deceiving...
I'm taking the view it took Ipswich two seasons and multiple windows to get out,a sustained challenge for the top 6 MUST be the aim.
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Post by yorkshireaddick on Jul 17, 2023 21:12:40 GMT
Will take us a minimum of 3 seasons to get out after the mismanagement over the years. We really aren't anywhere close.
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Post by reamsofverse on Jul 17, 2023 21:20:18 GMT
Not with the squad we currently have. We are six good players short and only slightly stronger than last season as things stand.
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Post by smudge7946 on Jul 18, 2023 7:39:02 GMT
We could win the league this year.
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Post by AndyB on Jul 18, 2023 11:00:51 GMT
We could win the league this year. women’s or U21’s ? |
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Post by kings hill addick on Jul 19, 2023 11:19:32 GMT
Not with the squad we currently have. We are six good players short and only slightly stronger than last season as things stand. I'm hoping that we are going to bring in, close to, six players that will fill the gaps, even if some of them are loans. |
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Post by Mundell on Jul 19, 2023 11:52:09 GMT
One of the reasons that football is so popular is its inherent unpredictability. To state the obvious, one in four teams finish in the top six each season. If you look at relative wage budgets (including in the Sandgaard seasons) we’ve always been in or close to the top six. It follows that with decent squad management and good coaching (it doesn’t need to be outstanding) our chances of finishing in the top six ought to be much better than one in four. It’s no coincidence that the bookies’ odds reflect this. Once we’re in the playoffs, of course, it’s two coin flips.
That’s the good news. The less good news is that we could have a much better squad next season and still not win promotion. The only certainty is randomness. For this reason, while medium-term planning around squad management is essential, a club like Charlton should be aiming to win promotion every season, at least while playing in League One. Eventually we’ll get lucky, but it’s impossible to predict when.
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Post by earlpurple on Jul 20, 2023 9:06:47 GMT
"Nearly" seasons can be a dangerous thing. The players in the team that were nearly promoted feel they are too good for the division and will often have caught attention. If Sheffield Wednesday hadn't gone up, Barry Bannon may have left them for a club in a higher league and they may have had a bigger struggle next season.
We saw MK Dons fall from nearly to relegation, and Scunthorpe did the same a few years earlier: playoffs in both 2017 and 2018 then relegated in 2019, a year in which Bradford City were also relegated having been in the playoffs in both 2016 and 2017. Barnsley went from playoffs to relegated in one season in the Championship. Of those teams, Scunthorpe have gone from bad to worse with 2 further relegations and dropped into the National League North.
Some of these can be caused by a team with a "go for it" budget then having to cut back when it didn't work and I wonder if that's what happened with MK Dons. It appears that kind of policy is what they're trying to avoid right now, which may be why the bookmakers haven't reduced our promotion odds in light of the takeover which they always knew was coming. I guess they foresaw this board was going to spend sensibly but not go for broke.
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